It seems the White House staff might want to flick off the tube before Joe Biden manages to make the entire Democratic map a minefield. His already shaky path to 270 electoral votes is looking even bleaker, especially with Trump pulling ahead in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Biden needs a clean sweep of these states, where Trump currently holds the edge. If Trump takes just one of these battlegrounds, Biden’s campaign could very well be over. Pennsylvania, long a graveyard for Republican ambitions, might ironically be Trump’s best bet this cycle. According to The Cook Political Report, six states have shifted towards the GOP, and Pennsylvania tops the list. Both Democratic and Republican polling firms show that post-debate, Trump’s lead over Biden has ballooned from four to ten points.
WATCH: CNN data analyst Harry Enten says that blue states like New York, Virginia, Minnesota, and New Hampshire could be in play for Trump if Biden remains in the race. pic.twitter.com/8peEyx0WXe
— TV News Now (@TVNewsNow) July 13, 2024
Despite national polls suggesting a nail-biter of a race, the real story lies in the Electoral College, where a Trump landslide isn’t just a possibility, it’s practically on the horizon. Number-crunchers assert Biden needs to be polling at least six points ahead of Trump to have a fighting chance in the Electoral College. Spoiler alert: He’s running well short of that mark. Even left-leaning pollsters acknowledge Biden is dragging down-ballot Democrats into the abyss, jeopardizing their hold on the House and Senate. If Biden sticks around, states like Virginia, New York, and New Hampshire might be ripe for the taking by Team Trump. CNN’s own Harry Enten delivered this grim prognosis, reiterating that these traditionally blue states could flip red if Biden remains the candidate.
Politico’s recent report revealed that New York Democrats are practically mainlining Pepto Bismol in response to the latest polling. There’s real panic about New York, a state Biden carried by a whopping 23 points four years ago, now teetering on the edge of becoming a battleground. This revelation has Democratic officials in a frenzy, urging the Biden camp to divert resources to what should be safely in their column. They’ve got good reason to worry: private polls from swing districts in New York show Trump edging Biden by a hair, and even public polls have shown Biden’s lead shrinking to a mere 8 points.
The alarm bells have been ringing for nearly a year, yet the Biden administration remains woefully tone-deaf. In a telling sign, Manhattan Borough President Mark Levine finally admitted that New York is turning into a battleground state. The Siena College poll in June placed Biden only eight points ahead of Trump, and worse still, just 28% of independent voters are backing Biden’s reelection, with a staggering 71% disapproving of his performance. The labor unions, often a bulwark for Democratic candidates, are equally horrified. An unnamed union official revealed their June poll mirrored the grim public survey results, indicating Biden’s poor statewide performance.
Yet, this drumbeat of doom fails to penetrate the thick walls of Biden’s inner circle, who cocoon him in an echo chamber of false narratives about his health and electoral strength. Any aide daring to present a more sobering picture risks career decapitation. Meanwhile, Democrats’ 2024 hopes are sinking faster than the Titanic, largely thanks to their captain steer-leading them straight into the iceberg.