A recent New York Times/Siena College poll has put Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in a dead heat, prompting chuckles among conservatives who remember how Trump performed in the polls back in 2016 and 2020. Nate Cohn, the Times’ chief political analyst, is warning left-wing Americans to be ready for another potential Trump surprise this coming Election Day. It seems even the most liberal of publications can’t help but feel that familiar twinge of uncertainty when it comes to Trump’s electoral prowess.
The poll surveyed a hearty 7,879 likely voters from seven key battleground states and revealed that Harris has managed to scrape together narrow leads in a few areas, including a meager three-point edge in Nevada and paltry leads in North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Conversely, Trump has seized a minuscule lead in Michigan and a solid four-point advantage in Arizona. This shows that while Harris may enjoy some fleeting popularity, it’s clear that many of the voters have kept Trump’s phone number saved for a reason.
Oh, the smart people know this. Demtards lying to y’all again & again. Election interference!
Chief NYT Political Analyst Identifies Clear Sign That Trump Could Outperform Polls Yet Again https://t.co/OMtjcw6Mv1— Ultra (@rocksnap) November 4, 2024
Cohn dove into why Trump might again be underestimated by the polling gurus, noting that four years ago, the polls failed to capture the true number of Trump supporters who just didn’t feel like participating in surveys. Shockingly, a demographic breakdown revealed that white Democrats were 16 percent more likely to respond to polls than their Republican counterparts. It seems Democrat optimism might be founded more on wishful thinking than on concrete polling data, which doesn’t bode well for their chances on Election Day.
Democrats are counting on an impressive turnout from voters who sat out the last election, which is a gamble akin to betting everything on red at the roulette table. According to Cohn, the voting patterns across battleground states show that while Democrats lead in early voting, Republicans are dominating Election Day ballots—a trend that doesn’t echo the overwhelming margins seen in 2020. Given that Democrats are hoping for some sort of miracle from non-voters, it’s no wonder the atmosphere reeks of the kind of desperation that only surfaces in the final days of a losing campaign.
Adding fuel to the fire, an Iowa poll conducted by Ann Selzer revealed a surprising lead for Harris over Trump in a state that swung hard to the right in past elections. Many have pointed fingers at Selzer, suggesting she’s attempting to spur a last-ditch effort among pro-Harris voters, particularly women. Despite predicting Trump’s victories in Iowa during the last two cycles, this latest survey leaves everyone wondering if it’s a mere outlier or a sign of the left’s dripping desperation.
All in all, as the left scrambles to interpret the recent poll results and convince themselves that optimism is a substitute for sound strategy, it appears that Trump remains the wild card in this political game. With just a few days to go, even the most hardcore libs might want to stock up on antacids; it seems Election Day could deliver a dose of shocking reality that they aren’t quite ready to swallow.