Staff Reports
With Election Day looming just over the horizon, the polls have stepped onto the stage, strutting their stuff in a highly theatrical back-and-forth between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The latest ABC News/Ipsos poll shows Harris with a narrow lead of 51-47 percent among likely voters. This stat is presented like a trophy for the Harris camp, despite being a lead that hovers just outside a margin of error that should make anyone a tad skeptical. The question lingers: is this lead a reflection of actual support or just one of those polls that fits snugly with the mainstream media’s narrative?
Delving further into the poll’s findings, one might notice the peculiarities that make the numbers dance funny. Harris appears to have made some inroads among Independents, pipping Trump 48-47 in that demographic. But hang on a minute — the ABC exit poll from 2020 told a different story, with Biden dominating Independents by a staggering 13 points. RealClearPolling is singing a different tune altogether, indicating Trump with a slight lead of 0.9 points in battleground states. So, is this latest poll missed tuning or an outright racket?
The Harris team, exuberant as a teen snagging the last slice of pizza, has been swirling around findings that show Harris performing better than Biden among Black and Hispanic men. This revelation, as optimistic as it sounds, can’t quite overshadow her historically slump. Harris may throw around figures claiming a 74-point advantage among Black men, but this drive for votes smells suspiciously like desperation. The Obamas, her “VIP consultants,” have hit the campaign trail with an urgency that screams concern rather than confidence. The fact that Michelle Obama felt the need to share her feelings about Harris’s candidacy is another cherry on this political dessert — one that’s starting to look like last week’s leftovers.
Town Hall: Should the Kamala Camp Be Celebrating This Poll So Much? https://t.co/LS5gd1NH0c
— Ian Hansen News 🇺🇸🇺🇸 (@IanHansenNews) October 29, 2024
On the other hand, some polls are reminding us that Hispanic voters seem to have a soft spot for Trump. A recent USA Today/Suffolk poll showed Trump leading Hispanic voters by 49-38, which would understandably have the Democratic elite calculating their exit strategies if those numbers hold. Harris is underperforming across the board; her leads are weaker than a homemade souffle and far from the roaring success the Biden-Harris ticket enjoyed in 2020. The numbers are not just dipping; they resemble a sinking ship — especially for Black men under 50, who seem more interested in what Trump has to say.
Harris supporters may be cheering for a surge in turnout as if it were an Olympic sport, but the reality is those optimistic figures lack robust backing. As Trump rallies swell and enthusiasm surges like a summer thunderstorm, it’s fair to question whether Harris’s claims of higher voter turnout among her supporters hold water. Even ABC’s own anchors express reservations about the reliability of their own polling, pointing out that a mere four-point lead might not be enough to pop the champagne corks in Harris’s camp.
And, in a delightful twist, the ABC poll hints at an emerging trend: voters trust Trump over Harris on key issues. Trump’s leads in the critical areas of the economy, crime, and immigration are particularly noteworthy, with Trump positioned as the candidate with the better plan for navigating these crises. As the Democrats appear to flounder, caught in a jargon-laden web of policy proposals that often go nowhere, it’s becoming crystal clear that the 2024 race isn’t just about who’s up and who’s down — it’s about who’s got the vision for moving America forward without the baggage of administrative chaos.
