Staff Reports
If Democrats and Biden’s crew are glancing at the recent post-debate polling without a bead of sweat forming on their brows, they must be either floating out in space or knee-deep in denial the size of the entire universe. The debate wrapped up just last Thursday, and the numbers on the presidential election polls compiled by RealClearPolling since Friday are like a flashing neon sign. Let’s dive into the data from the past three days.
Starting off with Friday, the lone entry on RCP was a Data for Progress gem, showcasing Trump edging out Biden by a hair in a head-to-head matchup. Not a significant deviation from pre-debate stats, but hold onto your hats, because the swing-state polls released over the weekend are the real kicker.
On Saturday, EPIC-MRA threw two polls into the ring. The first, a Trump lead over Biden in Michigan – a crucial swing state, no less. And the second, a multi-party extravaganza featuring names like RFK Jr., Jill Stein, and Cornel West, where Trump once again came out on top. It’s like a game of musical chairs, and Biden seems to be left standing more often than not.
📊 NEW JERSEY GE: @coefficientpoll
🟥 Trump: 41%
🟦 Biden: 40%
🟨 RFK/3rd Party: 7%
⬜ Undecided:13%
—
Senate
🟦 Kim: 39%
🟥 Bashaw: 33%
🟨 Menendez: 3%
⬜ Undecided: 25%H2H Ballot –
🟦 Kim: 41%
🟥 Bashaw: 34%
⬜ Undecided: 25%#237 (1.1/3.0) | June 26-27 | 810 LV… pic.twitter.com/X5CNraZXL4
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 28, 2024
Enter the Interactive Polls survey on Saturday, dishing out numbers that should have Democrats reaching for the smelling salts.
Fast forward to Sunday, showdown day. The battleground state polls paint a picture worth a thousand words:
In Pennsylvania, a Cygnal survey reveals Trump leading the pack by four points, with similar figures in a head-to-head match. In New Hampshire, St. Ansel’s latest report flips the script from previous polls, showing Trump with a lead over Biden. The winds of change blowing in from January and May are starting to form a gale force.
The head-to-head general election polls on Sunday fail to soothe Biden’s camp, with Trump securing a healthy lead in some and a modest one in others. The writing is on the wall, and it’s not in disappearing ink.
While the election still looms over four months away, the trends painted by these polls are akin to a blinking hazard sign for Joe Biden and his followers. The power play could shift, the dynamics may morph, but as of now, the numbers aren’t singing a lullaby to Team Biden.
As for Trump, well, the sequel is yet to be penned. Stay tuned for more updates as the showdown draws closer. The Electoral College maps are itching for their makeover, and it’s bound to be a thrilling ride.
