Staff Reports
As Election Day inches closer, a scenario is shaping up that could leave leftist dreamers scratching their heads. Former President Donald Trump, who’s experienced his fair share of electoral setbacks with the popular vote, is showing signs that he might just pull it off this time around. After narrowly losing the popular vote in 2016 and being edged out again in 2020, Trump has reminded everyone that he’s the one who not only secured more votes than any Republican ever but also surpassed the sitting president’s historic numbers during the last election.
Recent polls reveal that Trump is in a far better position now than he was during previous campaigns. Back in September 2020, he faced an uphill battle with Joe Biden leading by eight points, a solid cushion for the Democrats. Four years earlier, Hillary Clinton held a seven-point edge. Fast-forward to today, Trump appears to be neck and neck with Vice President Kamala Harris, who, it turns out, is struggling to maintain her grip on the electorate.
I firmly believe that Donald Trump is going to win the Presidential election by carrying every single swing state. I also believe he will win the popular vote.
My analysis is rooted in the numbers. Donald Trump has never polled as well as he is polling right now against Kamala… pic.twitter.com/iVRyypOGs7
— Josiah Lippincott (@jlippincott_) September 20, 2024
A major factor aiding Trump’s potential surge is the growing enthusiasm among key voter demographics. Evidence suggests he’s gaining ground with white evangelicals, who have upped their approval of him from 73% in 2016 to a hefty 82%. His backing from male voters has also seen a respectable bump since his previous run against Biden, and let’s not forget he’s making surprising strides among female voters as well. Once upon a time, Harris was touting a 22-point lead over Trump, a comfortable margin. Fast forward to now, and that lead has shrunk to a mere 15 points.
Let’s not overlook Trump’s influence among black voters, a demographic that has long been taken for granted by the Democrats. In 2020, Trump captured a mere 8% of this vote, but recent polls indicate he’s nearly doubled that support, achieving about 15%. For some historical context, in 2012, Mitt Romney sat at a cringe-worthy 0% with black voters at a similar point in his campaign. Meanwhile, Trump has been actively promoting policies targeting the black community, including Opportunity Zones, which he has praised for their positive economic impact.
As Harris desperately attempts to unify her young voter base while navigating her precarious position on issues like the war in Gaza, Trump has been pulling in crowds by going straight to the people through modern platforms. He’s been through a media blitz that includes appearances with entertainers and influencers like Theo Von and Logan Paul, reaching millions of young people where they actually hang out online. His willingness to engage in non-traditional media seems to be resonating far better than Harris’s conventional approach, which has relied mostly on rallies and traditional interviews.
The landscape is shifting, and if Trump keeps expanding his reach and tapping into the growing enthusiasm among various demographics, he could not only boost his overall vote count but also present a legitimate challenge to secure that elusive popular vote come Election Day.
