A recent poll conducted by Republican super PAC United in 2024 has revealed some intriguing insights into the political landscape in New Jersey. According to the poll, former President Donald Trump is edging out President Joe Biden in the state, with a slight lead of 43 to 41 percent in a head-to-head matchup. However, when other options are taken into account, including the likes of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Trump and Biden are tied at 38 percent each.
Matt Mowers, a senior strategist for United 2024, highlighted that the survey reflects a growing dissatisfaction among voters with the current Biden-Harris administration. Mowers pointed out that this discontent is translating down-ballot, potentially impacting Democrats running for other positions.
YO! WTF?! @realDonaldTrump's BEATING @JoeBiden in NEW JERSEY! A deep BLUE state! That's crazy! 😳😯😬🫢 It's unlikely that New Jersey flips red, but the fact that Donald Trump's currently beating Joe Biden in that poll there is just insane! https://t.co/rJKN9oPJcN
— AKthirst (@_akthirst) June 28, 2024
In a separate race, Rep. Andy Kim, a Democrat from New Jersey’s Third Congressional District, faces a tough challenge from GOP candidate Bashaw, with Kim leading by a slim margin of 35 to 33 percent. Interestingly, the poll also indicated that New Jersey voters are leaning towards outsider candidates rather than those with experience in Washington, DC.
The survey further delved into the issues that are at the top of New Jersey voters' minds. A majority expressed concerns about open borders, rising crime rates, and inflation, indicating a shift towards prioritizing these issues over a singular focus on opposing Trump. This shift in sentiment appears to bode well for Reate, with Mowers emphasizing the favorable numbers for Trump and Bashaw as indicative of a potential path to victory in the upcoming election.
It’s worth noting that New Jersey, a solidly blue state in recent decades, has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988 and has not elected a GOP senator since 1972. The United 2024 poll, conducted among 477 registered voters with a margin of error of 4.5 percent, provides a snapshot of the evolving political dynamics in the state leading up to the next election.